The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine had profound consequences for the global economy, not least by exposing the fragility of global supply chains, which had to contend with restrictions that prevented goods and raw materials from reaching their end destinations. And while a host of stop-gap solutions have been proposed to counter these issues, the flare-up of geopolitical tensions over the last year has prompted key trading players to look to “friend-shoring”—the manufacturing and sourcing of components from countries with shared political values—to resolve this persistent supply-chain turbulence. This also means countries perceived as economically safe or low-risk, to avoid disruption to the flow of business.
But this potential solution is not without drawbacks, writes International Banker (March 30, 2023). The practice has stoked concern within the international community about the possibility of further geo-political fragmentation and deglobalization of the world’s economy – the decline of interdependence between nations, global institutions and enterprises.
The US government, as an example, has stressed its intention to obtain components and raw materials from ‘friendly’ countries with shared values to increase security of domestic production. US Treasury Secretary Yellen set out the new approach to trade last year, saying: “Rather than being highly reliant on countries where we have geopolitical tensions and can’t count on ongoing, reliable supplies, we need to really diversify our group of suppliers. And we need to deepen our ties with those partners and to work together to make sure that we can supply our needs of critical materials.”
Yellen added that the US is providing $500 million in debt financing to its biggest solar-manufacturing company to build a plant in India to help diversify supply chains away from China. Other American multinationals are also opting for greater exposure to India—an ostensibly friendlier option than China. Tech giant Apple recently made friend-shoring moves, relocating some of its iPhone production to India from China. Currently, only 5% of Apple products are made outside of China, but this could rise to 24% by 2025.
