
Boeing’s decision to reduce the production rate on the 737 MAX was a surprise in timing and scope, reports The Wall Street Journal (April 5, 2019). It came quickly and was steep, cutting production from 52 MAXes per month to 42. The cut comes on the heals that a second software problem was found, delaying submission of the MCAS software upgrade to the FAA for review and approval. This is lightning speed in the plane industry, where changes typically have 12-18 month lead times.
The impact to Boeing is going to be huge and include: (1) Airlines that had the MAXes in service will want compensation for their grounding aircraft; (2) Customers awaiting deliveries that are now deferred will also want compensation; (3) A few airlines threatened to cancel MAX orders; (4) Future sales campaigns could suffer; and (5) With completed 737 MAX planes piling up at its Seattle assembly plant, Boeing has been looking for other storage sites. (Some planes have been moved to its widebody-jet plant north of Seattle).
The move overrides Boeing’s planned increase to 57 a month by this summer. Higher production would have allowed Boeing to make almost 600 deliveries of the 737 this year, 90% of them the MAX model. The production cut will increase pressure on MAX customers ahead of the busy summer travel season. With more than 370 MAX jets already out of service and others remaining undelivered, airlines have already rejiggered their schedules. Southwest, the largest MAX operator at 34 aircraft, is due to receive an additional 31 this year and 30 in 2020.
For suppliers, the impact may be more immediate. Spirit AeroSystems. for example, derives more than 40% of its sales from the 737, but the company said it would continue supplying at the 52-a-month rate to Boeing.
Classroom discussion questions:
- How does a slowdown impact the production line (see Ch.9)?
- Will this issue be a permanent drain on Boeing?