Self-checkout lanes can replace cashiers. Autonomous vehicles could handle package delivery or warehouse inventory. Even more complex tasks like suggesting what toy or shirt a shopper might want could be handled by a computer with access to a shopper’s buying history, similar to what already happens online today. “The primary predictor for automation is how routine a task is,” says a Citi researcher. “A big issue is that retail is a sizable percentage of the workforce.”
Nearly 16 million people, or 11% of nonfarm U.S. jobs, are in retail. Now, as stores close, these jobs are disappearing. Since January, the U.S. economy has lost about 71,000 retail jobs. Automation is filtering through many parts of retail. Tiffany is using machines to polish jewelry. Home Depot has self-checkouts in most stores and is testing scanner guns for shoppers buying bulky products like lumber.
Wal-Mart has long squeezed efficiency out of its business. Although it employs 1.5 million people in the U.S., it has around 15% fewer workers per sq. ft. of store than a decade ago. Its U.S. stores now have a Cash360 machine, making thousands of positions obsolete. Employees whose task was to count cash and track the accuracy of the store’s books have been replaced by the hulking gray machine that counts 8 bills per second and 3,000 coins a minute–then digitally deposits the money at the bank.
Classroom discussion questions:
1. What other jobs are likely to be replaced by automation in the coming decade?
2. Why is this an OM issue?
